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Inflation and earnings

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View the latest official inflation and earnings data, alongside forecasts based on expert opinion and official data to help you plan ahead.

  • Inflation  Retail prices index: 4.4% (12 months to December 2006)

  • Average earnings   Earnings, whole economy: 4.1 % (12 months to November 2006)

  • Inflation forecasts
    First quarter 2007: Range 3.7% to 4.3%; average 4.0%
    Second quarter 2007: Range 3.0% to 4.0%; average 3.5%

  • Average earnings forecasts
    First quarter 2007: Range 3.9% to 4.8%; average 4.4%
    Second quarter 2007: Range 3.9% to 4.8%; average 4.4%

    Inflation

  • The headline rate of inflation, as measured by the annual change in the all-items retail prices index (RPI), was 4.4% in December 2006, up from 3.9% in November.

  • The all-items index increased by 0.8% between November and December 2006, to 202.7.

  • Underlying inflation - the 12-month change in the all-items RPI excluding mortgage interest payments (RPIX) - was 3.8% in December 2006, up from November.

  • The consumer prices index (CPI), formerly known as the harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) - an EU measure of inflation similar to RPI - rose by 3.0% in the year to December 2006, up from 2.7% a month earlier.

    Retail prices index

     

    All-items index
    Annual increase
    %

    Underlying index
    Annual increase
    %

    2005

    Dec

    2.2

    2.0

    2006

    Jan

    2.4

    2.3

     

    Feb

    2.4

    2.3

     

    Mar

    2.4

    2.1

     

    Apr

    2.6

    2.4

     

    May

    3.0

    2.9

     

    Jun

    3.3

    3.1

     

    Jul

    3.3

    3.1

     

    Aug

    3.4

    3.3

     

    Sep

    3.6

    3.2

     

    Oct

    3.7

    3.2

     

    Nov

    3.9

    3.4

     

    Dec

    4.4

    3.8

    Source:Office for National Statistics , Consumer Price Indices, published 16 January 2007.