European Union: Lisbon strategy relaunched

March 2005 saw the mid-term review of the EU's 10-year Lisbon strategy, aimed at revitalising the European economy and labour market. Acknowledging that the strategy has not performed as well as had been hoped, ministers met at their annual spring summit to discuss how to give it more impetus.

None of the concrete employment targets have been changed, even though it is doubtful whether they will be attained. Instead, the focus is on streamlining the strategy, refocusing it on specific priorities and urging member states to improve its implementation.

EU ministers and heads of state met in Brussels on 22 and 23 March 2005 for their annual spring summit on growth and jobs. One of the main focuses of the meeting was the mid-term review of the 10-year Lisbon strategy, which was launched in 2000 and aims to make the European economy the most dynamic and knowledge-based in the world by 2010 (EIRR 316 p.23). The strategy contains concrete targets in areas such as overall employment levels, female employment and the employment of older workers. When the strategy was launched, the EU was experiencing good economic growth and, at that time, the prospects of being able to harness this growth to stimulate employment appeared to be good.

However, five years since the launch, it is clear that, although some progress has been made, it is unlikely that the targets in the areas of employment will be met. For an overview of progress towards the main targets, see box. The report on employment, delivered by the high-level group set up to renew the strategy and headed by the former Dutch premier Wim Kok in November 2004 (see European Commission: Social policy state of play), offered strong criticism of the strategy, stating, among other things, that there needs to be more political will to implement the strategy. It stressed that: "Time is running out and there can be no room for complacency. Better implementation is needed now to make up for lost time."

The European Commission submitted its own communication on the mid-term review of the Lisbon strategy, in which it sets out the main areas in which the strategy could be relaunched. For details, see box.

Tripartite social summit

The spring council was preceded on 22 March by a tripartite social summit, as has been the case for the past few years. Participants representing the main social partner organisations discussed the approach to the mid-term review of the Lisbon strategy. A joint declaration was then forwarded to heads of state and governments who were meeting at the spring council. The declaration was signed by representatives of UNICE/UEAPME, CEEP and ETUC and states their support for the Lisbon strategy: "Faced with the challenges of globalisation, technological progress and demographic ageing, the Lisbon strategy remains as valid and necessary as it was in 2000. Europe's weakness in terms of growth and employment needs to be addressed." The parties urge the spring council to use the mid-term review of the Lisbon strategy to focus on policies that will create the conditions for average 3% growth per year by 2010.

The signatory parties also express their support for the commission's proposals to realign and streamline the delivery process of the Lisbon strategy. They also stress the importance of involving the social partners at national level when developing national Lisbon programmes, and at European level when assessing the implementation and results of the strategy.

The social partners also presented four reports to the spring summit:

  • a new framework of actions on gender equality;
  • their third annual report on the follow-up to their framework of actions on the lifelong development of competences and qualifications;
  • their second joint report on national social partner actions to implement the European employment guidelines; and
  • a joint contribution to the EU youth initiative.

The social partners also state that they are thinking about the content of their next autonomous work programme. The current three-year programme covers 2003, 2004 and 2005.

Spring summit

At the spring summit, ministers agreed that the results of the Lisbon strategy are mixed and that, although there has been "undeniable progress", there are "shortcomings and delays" and they therefore call for urgent action to be taken. Ministers identified the main strands of the relaunch as follows:

  • encouraging knowledge and innovation;
  • making the EU an attractive area in which to invest and work; and
  • encouraging greater social cohesion through growth and employment.

Knowledge and innovation

This has been a key area of focus for the Lisbon strategy since its launch. Ministers believe that if research, education and innovation is developed, this will contribute to creating more and better jobs. Here, ministers urge those directly involved in the knowledge-based society to conduct a "genuine dialogue" on this theme, in both the public and private sectors. The Lisbon objective of investing 3% of GDP in research and development is maintained, with a split between private and public investment, and ministers state that intermediate levels need to be set out at national level.

Other areas include increasing the attraction of the EU for researchers by improving the conditions under which they move and practice their profession. Further, member states are encouraged to develop their own innovation policies, focusing particularly on supporting small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs), promoting joint research between undertakings and universities, improving access to risk capital, focusing public procurement on innovative products and services and developing partnerships for innovation.

Increasing the attractiveness of Europe

Ministers state that the EU must complete its internal market and make its regulatory environment "more business-friendly", while business must develop its sense of social responsibility. They stress the need for an efficient infrastructure to ensure sustainable consumption and production and a high quality of life. The council therefore urges member states to transpose all relevant directives in these areas.

In terms of the internal market, the council identifies the importance of making the internal market for fully operational services. The directive aimed at achieving this, proposed in January 2004, has stirred up much controversy among trade unions, which fear that it will lead to "social dumping" as a result of firms being allowed to be based in and covered by the regulations of one country but to operate in another. The council states that: "The internal market of services has to be fully operational while preserving the European social model. In the light of this ongoing debate, which shows that the directive as it is currently drafted does not fully meet these requirements, the European Council requests all efforts to be undertaken within the legislative process in order to secure a broad consensus that meets all these objectives." It would therefore seem clear that the directive, which is due a first reading in the European parliament in June 2005, will subsequently undergo significant revision.

The council also stresses the need to improve the EU's regulatory environment and notes that SMEs in particular would benefit from this.

Social cohesion, growth and employment

The council welcomes the commission's recent communication on the social agenda for the coming five years, in which it outlines a variety of policies in the employment and social field (see EC: Commissioner Spidla sets out social policy vision). It states its belief that raising employment levels and extending working life, coupled with reform of social protection systems, is the best way of maintaining the present level of social protection. The goals of the Lisbon strategy in the field of employment will be maintained, as will the general goal of full employment, quality of work, labour productivity and social cohesion.

The council states that more people must be attracted into the labour market, using measures such as an active employment policy, making work pay, reconciling work and family life, equal opportunities, active ageing, encouraging social integration and converting undeclared work into lawful employment. New forms of work organisation and a greater diversity of contractual arrangements for workers and employers will also contribute to adaptability. Further, emphasis should be placed on better anticipation and management of economic change.

Education and training is a key tool for encouraging social cohesion and the council stresses that member states should work to raise their general standard of education and to reduce the number of early school leavers. Member states should also focus on lifelong learning, particularly in the case of low-skilled workers and those working for SMEs.

Reactions

The EU-level private sector employers' organisation UNICE has welcomed the fact that the council has focused on how to "dynamise" the EU, believing that "Europe needs to shake itself out of its lethargy and increase its growth potential". However, it states that it is disappointed that the council has not taken the opportunity to strongly relaunch the Lisbon strategy. Nevertheless, it hopes that, as member states will play a key role in re-energising the strategy, the 2005-08 national action plans to be drawn up by member states will "help identify priority actions for reform".

UNICE supports the liberalisation of the internal market for services, which it terms "a centrepiece of the EU economy and employment picture". It characterises the services Directive as an essential element to enhance growth and jobs. While agreeing that the Directive must not undermine existing legislation on the posting of workers (the EU's posted workers Directive), it believes that the EU "urgently needs a functioning internal market for services".

Philippe de Buck, UNICE secretary general, stated: "A growth and jobs strategy is what Europe needs. It will allow companies, regardless of their size, to create employment in all member states. It is now up to European and national political leaders to translate words into action."

ETUC general secretary John Monks stated that reforms have been put into place in the EU, but that macro-economic policies are need to ensure that these are successful: "Internal market, the single currency, liberalisation of networks industries, reform of the labour market. You name it, Europe has done it. But where are the results of these reforms? The problem is not a lack of structural reform, it is neglect of growth-supporting macro-economic policies." The ETUC believes that more and better jobs can only be delivered if: active demand policies are deployed; policies are put into place to strengthen the European social model as a force for productivity, rather than policies that deregulate the welfare state; and these reform policies are implemented in close agreement with the social partners.

It is clear that, while some progress has been made in improving both the level and the quality of employment in the EU over the past five years, there remains much to be done. All member states are now working to reform their policies in areas such as early retirement, active ageing, the interface between social benefits and incentives to find work, competence development and improving and updating the skills levels of workers, all of which will bear fruit in the years to come. Whether this will be enough to reach the targets set by the Lisbon strategy by 2010 is a moot point - there appears to be a consensus that reaching the targets is unlikely if the EU's labour market performance remains the same. While this mid-term review and overhaul of the strategy does not revoke any of the original targets, it aims to address some of the acknowledged weaker points of the strategy, namely its governance and its delivery by individual member states. The commission has therefore streamlined the process to make it more readily understandable and transparent in the future. It is now largely up to the individual member states to work towards better implementation.


Progress towards the Lisbon strategy employment goals

The Lisbon strategy's goals in the area of employment are as follows:

  • an overall employment rate of 70% in 2010 (67% in 2005);
  • a female employment rate of 60% in 2010 (57% in 2005);
  • an employment rate for older workers (aged 55-64) of 50% in 2010;
  • an increase by 2010 of five years in the average age at which people leave the labour market; and
  • availability of childcare by 2010 for 90% of children between three and the compulsory school age, and for 33% of children under the age of three.

Further, for member states, four priority areas for employment policy are identified:

  • attracting more people into employment;
  • increasing the adaptability of workers and enterprises;
  • investing in human capital and making lifelong learning a reality; and
  • improving the implementation of reforms through better governance.

In a working document (COM (2005) 160), dated 28 January 2005, the commission details progress towards these targets.

Overall employment rate

It states that the overall employment rate was 64.4% in 2003 for the EU15 and 63% for the EU25. There are, however, significant differences across member states, ranging from 51.2% in Poland to 75.1% in Denmark. The commission believes that, to meet the overall employment target, more than 22 million jobs must be created in the EU25. This requires an annual growth rate of 1.5%, compared with the 0.7% annual growth achieved over the period from 2000 to 2003.

Female employment rate

The female employment rate in the EU15 was 56.1% in 2003, close to the 57% interim target by 2005. The rate was 55.1% in the EU25 in 2003. The commission states that the 2010 target for female employment seems "achievable", requiring an annual growth rate of 1% in the EU15 from 2003 to 2010, compared with the annual increase of 1.5% during the period from 2000 to 2003. The required annual growth rate in the EU25 would be 1.2%.

Employment rate for older workers

There has been a considerable increase in the employment rate of older workers, which rose by 4.6 percentage points, to 41.7%, between 1999 and 2003 in the EU15 (40.2% in the EU25). However, the commission states that the target for older workers is still "a long way off" - the employment rate for the over-55s would need to increase by 2.7% a year in the EU15 and by 3.2% a year in the EU25 to meet the target. The employment rate for women over the age of 55 is particularly low.

Average exit age from the labour market

The average exit age from the labour market is increasing, from 60.8 years in 2002 to 61.4 years in 2003 (EU15) and from 60.4 years in 2002 to 61.0 years in 2003 (EU25), as more member states are implementing pension reforms and developing active ageing strategies. However, it adds that "comprehensive active ageing strategies are missing or still need to be further developed in most member states."

Childcare provision

The commission notes that the provision of childcare is improving in the EU, as an increasing number of member states are now setting national targets for childcare provision, even though these are not always underpinned by actual policy initiatives. Harmonised statistics on childcare will be available in 2006. In the case of children under the age of three, the commission notes that provision is "deficient" - only Sweden, Denmark and Belgium (partly) meet the 33% target for coverage, while many countries have coverage of under 15%. Care provision for children between the ages of three and school age is "somewhat better", with many member states claiming to have reached the target for coverage of 90%.

Other areas considered by the commission include progress on the following:

  • the gender gap. The commission notes that the situation has improved overall, both in terms of the gender pay and the gender employment gap (although the gender pay gap worsened in Germany, Portugal and Sweden between 1999 and 2001);
  • making work pay. Many member states are pursuing reforms to make work pay by addressing the combined impact of taxes and benefits. However, the commission states that the "effective removal of unemployment traps appears difficult";
  • undeclared work. There has been "limited" progress in reducing undeclared work and the informal economy. In many member states, this is concentrated in sectors such as construction, agriculture, hotels and restaurants and personal and domestic services. The commission states that, although it is difficult to assess the extent of this phenomenon, since the mid-1990s, the scale of undeclared work may have decreased in the new member states in anticipation of EU membership, with the exception of Poland, where it has been rising since 1995 due to an increase in unemployment; and
  • part-time and temporary working. Part-time work has increased moderately, to 18.6% of the workforce in the EU15 and 17.1% in the EU25 in 2003. The commission states that part-time working is favoured by women, attracting 30.5% of female employees in the EU25 in 2003, compared with 6.6% of male employees. Temporary working is also increasing, although it is less prevalent, accounting for 12.8% of total employment in the EU25 in 2003. The incidence of temporary working increased by 6.7% between 1998 and 2003.

 


Commission's outline for relaunching the Lisbon strategy

In a communication (COM (2005) 24) entitled "Working together for jobs and growth. A new start for the Lisbon strategy", the commission outlines the key areas for overhauling the strategy. It notes that "there is a general consensus that Europe is far from achieving the potential for change that the Lisbon strategy offers. While both the diagnosis and the remedies are not contested, the reality is that not enough progress has been made".

The commission states that it does not want to rewrite the Lisbon strategy, but aims to "identify new actions at European and national level which will help to see our Lisbon vision is achieved".

Actions to renew the strategy include:

  • extending and deepening the internal market;
  • improving European and national regulation;
  • ensuring open and competitive markets within and outside the EU;
  • expanding and improving the European infrastructure;
  • increasing and improving investment in research and development;
  • facilitating innovation;
  • contributing to a strong European industrial base;
  • attracting more people into employment;
  • modernising social protection systems;
  • improving the adaptability of workers and enterprises and the flexibility of labour markets; and
  • investing more in human capital through better education and skills.

The commission also believes that the governance of the Lisbon strategy needs to be improved significantly to make it more effective and easily understood, and proposes to bring forward a Lisbon action programme setting out the way in which this is to be achieved.

Reporting mechanisms will also be simplified to make it easier for the European council to give practical guidance each spring.

The commission states that the delivery process needs to be overhauled, as it has become too complicated and is "poorly understood", adding that it "generates much paper, but little action. Responsibilities between the national and the European level have become blurred. Limited ownership is the result". The commission is therefore proposing a complete overhaul of the implementation and delivery of the Lisbon strategy as follows:

  • there will be a single national action programme for growth and jobs, prepared and adopted by each member state each year. This will replace the "myriad" of existing reports under the open method of coordination, one of which is the national action plan for employment;
  • member states will appoint a "Mr or Ms Lisbon" at government level to coordinate the different elements of the Lisbon strategy;
  • priorities for action at EU level are set out in a community Lisbon Action Programme;
  • the existing economic and employment coordination mechanisms, under the broad economic policy guidelines and the employment guidelines, will be integrated into a single package by means of an annual report published annually in January; and
  • stating that delivery is the "Achilles heel of the Lisbon strategy", the commission stresses that these measures for improving delivery can only work "if there is genuine commitment from member states".

The Lisbon strategy will be carried out on the basis of a three-year cycle, launched in 2005. A "light" review will take place in 2006 and 2007 while a more comprehensive review will take place in 2008, after which another three-year cycle will begin. Thus, the broad economic policy guidelines and the employment guidelines will be adopted as one package after the spring council.